Market Types
GradOrNot supports three types of prediction markets, each with a different resolution condition. Only one active market per type can exist for each token at any time.
Graduate
graduateWill this token graduate from the pump.fun bonding curve before the expiry?
- YES wins if the token's bonding curve account is closed (graduated) before expiry.
- NO wins if the bonding curve is still active when the market expires.
- Resolution checks the pump.fun bonding curve PDA on-chain.
Mcap Target
priceTargetWill this token reach a specific market cap (in SOL) before expiry?
- The creator sets the target market cap in SOL when creating the market.
- YES wins if the token's virtual market cap reaches or exceeds the target at any point before expiry.
- NO wins if the target is never reached and the market expires.
- Market cap is calculated from the bonding curve's virtual reserves.
Survive
surviveWill this token maintain a minimum market cap at the moment of expiry?
- The creator sets the minimum market cap floor in SOL.
- YES wins if the token's market cap is at or above the minimum when the market is resolved after expiry.
- NO wins if the market cap is below the floor at resolution time.
- Unlike Mcap Target, this checks the price at expiry, not at any point before.
Each token can only have one active market per type. For example, you can have a Graduate market AND a Mcap Target market for the same token, but not two Graduate markets. The second one would be blocked until the first resolves.